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White scrolling FOM

Discussion in 'Technical Issues' started by aznbigk, Jun 20, 2022 at 7:03 PM.

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  1. aznbigk

    aznbigk Ultimate Explorer

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    aznbigk
    Hi Alex, is my luck just that bad? I've done 21 ws with 10%s on my FOM, but have yet to pass anything. This bottleneck is becoming intolerable.
     
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  3. alex

    alex Some guy
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    To be clear, on your current fist, you failed 17 10%'s in a row (you can't use previous 10% failures on other equipment as part of your track record, because you had successful scrolling in-between):
    The chance of failing 17 10%'s in a row is (0.9)^17 = 16.677%. There was a 16.677% chance of this happening, which is unfortunate, but 17% isn't that improbable.

    You can include other 10%'s that failed in your calculation (in which case, you'd have more than 17 failed 10%'s), but then you're ignoring the 10%'s that succeeded in-between the 10%'s that failed.
     

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