White scrolling FOM

aznbigk · Jun 20, 2022

Hi Alex, is my luck just that bad? I've done 21 ws with 10%s on my FOM, but have yet to pass anything. This bottleneck is becoming intolerable.

alex · Jun 20, 2022

To be clear, on your current fist, you failed 17 10%'s in a row (you can't use previous 10% failures on other equipment as part of your track record, because you had successful scrolling in-between):

[2022-06-05 14:59:59] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:00:09] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:00:18] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:00:54] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:01:02] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:01:17] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:01:28] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-05 15:01:37] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15622690410} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:07] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:15] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:21] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:28] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:35] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:42] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:48] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:53:55] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
[2022-06-20 18:54:03] Aznbigk Equip{id=1472181, upgradeSlots=8, level=0, str=0, dex=4, luk=7, int=0, hp=0, mp=0, watk=71, matk=0, wdef=0, mdef=0, acc=9, avoid=0, speed=0, jump=0, refId=15668672772} 2044702 FAIL true
Click to expand...

The chance of failing 17 10%'s in a row is (0.9)^17 = 16.677%. There was a 16.677% chance of this happening, which is unfortunate, but 17% isn't that improbable.

You can include other 10%'s that failed in your calculation (in which case, you'd have more than 17 failed 10%'s), but then you're ignoring the 10%'s that succeeded in-between the 10%'s that failed.

Hauntr · Jun 20, 2022

https://forums.maplesaga.com/index.php?threads/official-accomplishment-thread.112/page-12#post-82968

Welcome to #REKT

White scrolling FOM

aznbigk Ultimate Explorer

Accidentally used up a slot on my gun while i was white scrolling it

Buying & Trading > White Scrolls

S> White scroll

I have a white scroll!

accidentally used white scroll...

alex Some guy
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Hauntr King Slime Vanquisher

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Welcome to #REKT

White scrolling FOM

aznbigk Ultimate Explorer

Accidentally used up a slot on my gun while i was white scrolling it

Buying & Trading > White Scrolls

S> White scroll

I have a white scroll!

accidentally used white scroll...

alex Some guy Staff Member

Hauntr King Slime Vanquisher

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alex Some guy
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